News | 30 juin 2023

Geography of discontent: the regional development trap and its impact on the eurosceptic vote

A recent study published by the European Commission highlights the link between regional economic stagnation and Eurosceptic voting patterns.

Geography of discontent 2023
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The study highlights the long-term impact of the "regional development trap", where regions struggle to maintain their economic vitality in terms of income, productivity and employment, citizens' engagement and support for European integration and values.

As the research indicates, "urban societies are considered more malleable and adaptable, meaning that discontent is bound to take hold to a far greater extent in rural areas than in urban ones." This sheds light on the higher levels of Eurosceptic voting observed in rural areas,  even after correcting for a range of various economic, social, and territorial factors.

This link persists over several electoral cycles, leading to long-term disengagement and dissatisfaction. To address this, the paper highlights the need for place-based policies, understanding the causes of development traps, improving governance, promoting innovation and education, developing small towns and rural areas, and further research into the impact of public policies at regional level. The research analyses the national elections from May 2018 to October 2022, examining the Eurosceptic vote in relation to the regional development trap. You can access to the study here.